This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 61% to break even | 44%–95% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 61% to break even | 54%–93% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 61% to break even | 52%–87% | 13 points betterwon 73%, needs 61% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 61% to break even | 0%–73% | 61 points shortwon 0%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 74 of 10670%needs 61% to break even | 62%–77% | 9 points betterwon 70%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 74 of 10769%needs 61% to break even | 61%–76% | 9 points betterwon 69%, needs 61% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against sa 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 226.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 15 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 16 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 48% to break even |
| 5.8Good |
| Under 227.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -101at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even | 4.1Good |
| Under 220.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +169at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 37% to break even | 3.6Good |
| Under 221.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +166at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even | 3.4Good |
| Under 116.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even | 2.8Slight |
| Under 118.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -148at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 60% to break even | 2.4Slight |
| Under 223.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +137at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 42% to break even | 1.9Slight |
| Under 228.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -114at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even | 1.9Slight |
| Under 222.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +143at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 41% to break even | 0.6Slight |
| Under 114.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +124at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even | -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 219.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 34% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Today 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -126at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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