This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 40% to break even | 44%–95% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 40% to break even | 54%–93% | 40 points betterwon 80%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 40% to break even | 27%–100% | 60 points betterwon 100%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 43 of 10641%needs 40% to break even | 33%–49% | 1 points betterwon 41%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 44 of 10741%needs 40% to break even | 34%–49% | 1 points betterwon 41%, needs 40% |
Tonight SA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 221.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 221.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA -4.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 221.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 220 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 184 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 213 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jun 8 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 209 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 200 | +21.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 214 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 209 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 241 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 185 | +36.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 231 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 235 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 237 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 248 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 223 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 223 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 223 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 6 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 206 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 28 | 209 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 207 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 209 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 209 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 246 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 259 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 213 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 270 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 240 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 243 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 222 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 221 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 247 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 253 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 201 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 236 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 234 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 267 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 241 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 265 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 228 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 227 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 222 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 203 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 236 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 261 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 215 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 239 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 244 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 263 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 258 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 222 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 215 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 210 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 199 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 235 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 233 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 249 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 220 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 207 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 195 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 198 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 211 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 225 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 236 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 266 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 214 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 241 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 219 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 240 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 237 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 224 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 213 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 16 | 237 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 220 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 251 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 267 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 247 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 245 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 237 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 275 | -53.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 213 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 261 | -39.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 212 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 233 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 245 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 238 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 245 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 231 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 234 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 248 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 208 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 224 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 225 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 236 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 217 | +4.5 | Won | |
| 63 of 106· last season59%needs 66% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -40.7Not beating its price |
| Over 222.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -164at Polymarket | 60 of 106· last season57%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.9Not beating its price |
| Over 223.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -151at Polymarket | 57 of 106· last season54%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.2Not beating its price |
| Over 225.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -123at Polymarket | 53 of 106· last season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.3Not beating its price |
| Over 226.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -105at FanDuel | 51 of 106· last season48%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price |
| Over 227.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -101at Polymarket | 50 of 106· last season47%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
| Over 228.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +107at Polymarket | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +119at Kalshi | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Over 230.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +131at Polymarket | 47 of 106· last season44%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
| Over 231.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +140at Kalshi | 45 of 106· last season42%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
| Over 233.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +162at Polymarket | 43 of 106· last season41%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 235.5 game total, SA gamesSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +189at Kalshi | 39 of 106· last season37%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 41% to break even |
| 6.0Good |
| Under 118.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 61% to break even | 1.6Slight |
| Under 116.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| SA -2.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | 0.3Slight |
| Under 114.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -2.3Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | -2.6Not beating its price |
| Under 110.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +198at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 34% to break even | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 112.5 team totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 40% to break even | -3.3Not beating its price |
| SA -1.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -126at Kalshi | 68 of 106· last season64%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 3rd quarter totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 34% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| SA +0.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -191at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 66% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 1st quarter totalSan Antonio Spurs · Tomorrow 9:40 PM ETSA without Harris | -112at Kalshi | 70 of 106· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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