This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 63% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 63% to break even | 14%–73% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 63% to break even | 19%–65% | 23 points shortwon 40%, needs 63% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 63% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points shortwon 60%, needs 63% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 63% to break even | 0%–73% | 63 points shortwon 0%, needs 63% |
| Last season | 32 of 4965%needs 63% to break even | 54%–75% | 3 points betterwon 65%, needs 63% |
| Every game |
Tonight BOS plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against NY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| 52%–74% |
| 1 points betterwon 64%, needs 63% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 15 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| -161at Kalshi |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 threesPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 42% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -148at Kalshi |
| 36 of 49· last season73%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -3.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 assistsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 65% to break even | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 16 of 49· last season33%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 23 of 49· last season47%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsPaul George · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 13 of 49· last season27%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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