This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 48% to break even | 14%–73% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 5.6assists |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 48% to break even | 13%–56% | 18 points shortwon 30%, needs 48% | 7assists |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 48% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% | 6.6assists |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 48% to break even | 0%–58% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% | 6.5assists |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 48% to break even | 30%–70% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% | 6.4assists |
| Every game | 7 of 1644%needs 48% to break even | 26%–64% | 4 points shortwon 44%, needs 48% | 6.4assists |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 9 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 7 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 2 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 11 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 8 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 5 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 9 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 assistsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even4 of 9 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 6.5 assistsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +135at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even3 of 9 on the road | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 7.5 assistsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +255at FanDuel | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 28% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.