This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 5.6assists |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 7assists |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 6.6assists |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 43% to break even | 12%–88% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% | 6.5assists |
| Last season | 5 of 1436% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gets a triple-double |
| 19%–57% |
| 7 points shortwon 36%, needs 43% |
| 6.4assists |
| Every game | 6 of 1638%needs 43% to break even | 21%–58% | 5 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% | 6.4assists |
| 7 |
| +0.5 |
| Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 26 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 24 | 12 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | 3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| +110at BetMGM |
| 7 of 14· last season50%needs 48% to break even5 of 9 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +2500at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 4% to break even0 of 9 on the road |
| -2.9Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -138at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 58% to break even8 of 9 on the road | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 54% to break even8 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 stealsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +117at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even5 of 9 on the road | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Gets a double-doubleDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +500at DraftKings | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 17% to break even0 of 9 on the road | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +222at DraftKings | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 31% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +340at DraftKings | 3 of 14· last season21%needs 23% to break even2 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pts + rebDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 53% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + astDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 54% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 44% to break even6 of 9 on the road | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 reboundsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | -145at Fanatics | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 59% to break even8 of 9 on the road | -15.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsDejounte Murray · Today 9:10 PM ET | +240at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 29% to break even1 of 9 on the road | -16.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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