This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 20% to break even | 0%–35% | 20 points shortwon 0%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 20% to break even | 2%–35% | 10 points shortwon 10%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 20% to break even | 5%–33% | 7 points shortwon 13%, needs 20% |
| This season | 4 of 3013%needs 20% to break even | 6%–27% | 7 points shortwon 13%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 20% to break even | 16%–40% | 6 points betterwon 26%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 13 of 6420%needs 20% to break even | 13%–30% | evenwon 20%, needs 20% |
Tonight NE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 32 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every New England Revolution game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Draw | Won | |
| May 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 6 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 9 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Draw | Won | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 28 | Draw | Won | |
| May 24 | Draw | Won | |
| May 17 | Draw | Won | |
| May 10 | Draw | Won | |
| May 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | Draw | Won | |
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.