This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 19% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 19% to break even | 27%–86% | 41 points betterwon 60%, needs 19% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 19% to break even | 35%–81% | 41 points betterwon 60%, needs 19% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 19% to break even | 33%–72% | 35 points betterwon 53%, needs 19% |
| This season | 16 of 3053%needs 19% to break even | 39%–67% | 35 points betterwon 53%, needs 19% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 19% to break even | 16%–40% | 8 points betterwon 26%, needs 19% |
| Every game | 25 of 6439%needs 19% to break even | 30%–49% | 20 points betterwon 39%, needs 19% |
Tonight NE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ne to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE +1 spreadNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 28 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 18 of 23· last season78%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.6Slight |
| NE +1.5 spreadNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 29 of 34· last season85%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -127at BetRivers | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.0Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +105at BetUS | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 49% to break even | -31.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalNew England Revolution · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -251at Kalshi | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 72% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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