This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 35% to break even | 8%–41% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| This season | 7 of 3023%needs 35% to break even | 13%–38% | 11 points shortwon 23%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 9 of 3426%needs 35% to break even | 16%–40% | 8 points shortwon 26%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 16 of 6425%needs 35% to break even | 17%–35% | 10 points shortwon 25%, needs 35% |
Tonight NE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NE goals in each game against under 0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE to win moneylineNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | NE goals | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 23 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 22 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 6 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even |
| -8.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 16 of 30· this season53%needs 19% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 10.0Strong |
| NE +1 spreadNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 18 of 23· last season78%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.6Slight |
| NE +1.5 spreadNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 29 of 34· last season85%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -127at BetRivers | 25 of 34· last season74%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, NE gamesNew England Revolution · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +105at BetUS | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 49% to break even | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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