This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 66% to break even | 27%–86% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% | won by 0.2goals |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 66% to break even | 35%–81% | 6 points shortwon 60%, needs 66% | lost by 0.3goals |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 66% to break even | 46%–83% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% | lost by 0.1goals |
| This season | 20 of 3067%needs 66% to break even | 52%–79% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% | won by 0.3goals |
| Last season |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 22 of 33 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against CHI +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI to win moneylineChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 54%–79% |
| 1 points betterwon 68%, needs 66% |
| won by 0.2goals |
| Every game | 45 of 6767%needs 66% to break even | 57%–76% | 1 points betterwon 67%, needs 66% | won by 0.2goals |
| Beat -0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 12 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 6 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -5 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 14 of 30· this season47%needs 40% to break even14 of 33 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Draw, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +290at FanDuel | 9 of 37· last season24%needs 26% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 34% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even11 of 33 on the road | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 57% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 22 of 37· last season59%needs 47% to break even19 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +186at FanDuel | 8 of 30· this season27%needs 35% to break even6 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 24 of 37· last season65%needs 55% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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