This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 40% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points shortwon 30%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 40% to break even | 22%–61% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| This season | 14 of 3047%needs 40% to break even | 33%–61% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 16 of 3743%needs 40% to break even | 31%–57% | 3 points betterwon 43%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 30 of 6745%needs 40% to break even | 35%–55% | 5 points betterwon 45%, needs 40% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against chi to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.