This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 26% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 26% to break even | 0%–35% | 26 points shortwon 0%, needs 26% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 26% to break even | 13%–56% | 4 points betterwon 30%, needs 26% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 26% to break even | 13%–48% | 1 points betterwon 27%, needs 26% |
| This season | 6 of 3020%needs 26% to break even | 11%–34% | 6 points shortwon 20%, needs 26% |
| Last season | 9 of 3724%needs 26% to break even | 15%–37% | 1 points shortwon 24%, needs 26% |
| Every game | 15 of 6722%needs 26% to break even | 15%–32% | 3 points shortwon 22%, needs 26% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 33 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Chicago Fire game, newest first: whether it ended level.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 6 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 9 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 2 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 11 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Nov 1 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 4 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 26 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | Draw | Won | |
| Jul 12 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | Decided by 6 | Lost | |
| May 31 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| May 17 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 26 | Decided by 5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI to win moneylineChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +150at BetRivers | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 40% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.7Not beating its price | |
| CHI -0.5 spreadChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +140at BetRivers | 14 of 30· this season47%needs 42% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -15.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even11 of 33 on the road | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Both teams score: No, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 30· this season30%needs 34% to break even8 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 19 of 30· this season63%needs 57% to break even14 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.4Not beating its price | |
| CHI PK spreadChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | PIN-119at Pinnacle | 16 of 28· last season57%needs 54% to break even14 of 25 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 22 of 37· last season59%needs 47% to break even19 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | +186at FanDuel | 8 of 30· this season27%needs 35% to break even6 of 33 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price | |
| CHI +0.5 spreadChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | -195at BetRivers | 25 of 37· last season68%needs 66% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Today 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 24 of 37· last season65%needs 55% to break even22 of 33 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.