This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 57% to break even | 35%–81% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 57% to break even | 46%–83% | 9 points betterwon 67%, needs 57% |
| This season | 19 of 3063%needs 57% to break even | 48%–76% | 6 points betterwon 63%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 15 of 3741%needs 57% to break even | 28%–54% | 17 points shortwon 41%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 34 of 6751%needs 57% to break even | 41%–61% | 7 points shortwon 51%, needs 57% |
Tonight CHI plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, CHI gamesChicago Fire · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI to win moneylineChicago Fire · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 22 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 26 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 22 of 37· last season59%needs 47% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 14 of 30· this season47%needs 40% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -18.6Not beating its price |
| CHI 0 spreadChicago Fire · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -120at BetOnline | 16 of 28· last season57%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.7Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalChicago Fire · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 24 of 37· last season65%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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