This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 28% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 28% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 28% to break even | 7%–46% | 8 points shortwon 20%, needs 28% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 28% to break even | 13%–48% | 1 points shortwon 27%, needs 28% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 28% to break even | 10%–59% | 1 points betterwon 29%, needs 28% |
| Last season | 6 of 3418%needs 28% to break even | 9%–31% | 10 points shortwon 18%, needs 28% |
| Every game |
Tonight MON plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against LILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 20 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every AS Monaco game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
| 8 of 4120%needs 28% to break even |
| 11%–31% |
| 8 points shortwon 20%, needs 28% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 18 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 4 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 2 | METZ | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 10 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | NAN | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 31 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | NAN | Decided by 2 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 5 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 27 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | METZ | Decided by 3 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| -105at Polymarket |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even13 of 20 at home |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even12 of 20 at home | -14.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +202at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 33% to break even11 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN-119at Pinnacle | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 54% to break even13 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| MON to win moneylineAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +110at Bovada | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| MON -0.5 spreadAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN+110at Pinnacle | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN+106at Pinnacle | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 49% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is this season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +126at Polymarket | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 44% to break even8 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -119at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 54% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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