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Won18 of 34last season · 53%
Best price+202Polymarket
Price needs33.1%wins to break even
Every game19 of 41this season and last
Trend score-15.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 33% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 33% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 33% to break even | 17%–54% | evenwon 33%, needs 33% |
| This season | 1 of 714%needs 33% to break even | 3%–45% | 19 points shortwon 14%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 18 of 3453%needs 33% to break even | 39%–66% | 20 points betterwon 53%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 19 of 4146%needs 33% to break even | 34%–59% | 13 points betterwon 46%, needs 33% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MON plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against LILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Lille @ AS Monaco: over 3.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  LOR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  TOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 18 |  RCL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  STR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 4 |  PSG | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  OLM | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 23 |  HAC | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | STR | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  LILL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 2 | METZ | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | TOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 |  AUX | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  PAR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 | OLM | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  LYON | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  BRE | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | PSG | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  ANG | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | RCL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 13 | NAN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 |  NICE | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 |  REN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 | HAC | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | LOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | LYON | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | OLM | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | BRE | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | PSG | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | REN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | RCL | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | PAR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | NAN | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | TOU | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | ANG | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | NICE | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | LOR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | METZ | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | AUX | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | STR | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | LILL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 16 | HAC | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +105at Bovada | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on AS Monaco in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  -101at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -12.9Not beating its price | ||
| MON to win moneylineAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |  +110at Fanatics | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| MON -0.5 spreadAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | LVG+108at LowVig | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | -119at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.