This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 44% to break even | 5%–56% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 44% to break even | 13%–48% | 18 points shortwon 27%, needs 44% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 44% to break even | 19%–71% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 12 of 3435%needs 44% to break even | 23%–49% | 9 points shortwon 35%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 15 of 4137%needs 44% to break even | 25%–49% | 8 points shortwon 37%, needs 44% |
Tonight MON plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against LILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 20 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every AS Monaco game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| May 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 10 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| May 2 | METZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 6 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | NAN | Both scored | Lost |
| Feb 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 31 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 24 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 5 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 29 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 22 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 29 | NAN | Both scored | Lost |
| Oct 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | METZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Lost | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even12 of 20 at home | -14.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.