This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 59% to break even | 35%–81% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 59% to break even | 52%–87% | 14 points betterwon 73%, needs 59% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 59% to break even | 29%–81% | 2 points shortwon 57%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 22 of 3465%needs 59% to break even | 51%–77% | 6 points better |
Tonight MON plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against LILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 20 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every AS Monaco game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: No, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET |
| Every game | 26 of 4163%needs 59% to break even | 51%–75% | 4 points betterwon 63%, needs 59% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 18 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 12 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 4 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 30 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 17 | Both scored | Won | |
| May 10 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| May 2 | METZ | Both scored | Won |
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 19 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 10 | Both scored | Won | |
| Apr 5 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 22 | Both scored | Won | |
| Mar 14 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 28 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Won | |
| Feb 13 | NAN | Both scored | Won |
| Feb 8 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | Both scored | Won | |
| Jan 3 | Both scored | Won | |
| Dec 14 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | Both scored | Won | |
| Nov 8 | Both scored | Won | |
| Nov 1 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | NAN | Both scored | Won |
| Oct 25 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | Both scored | Won | |
| Oct 5 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 27 | Both scored | Won | |
| Sep 21 | METZ | Both scored | Won |
| Sep 13 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 31 | Both scored | Won | |
| Aug 24 | A team didn't score | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Both scored | Won | |
| +126at Polymarket |
| 12 of 34· last season35%needs 44% to break even8 of 20 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
| -105at Polymarket |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even13 of 20 at home |
| -13.7Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +202at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 33% to break even11 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Draw, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | tS+260at theScore Bet | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 28% to break even3 of 20 at home | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN-119at Pinnacle | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 54% to break even13 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| MON to win moneylineAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | +110at Bovada | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| MON -0.5 spreadAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN+110at Pinnacle | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | PIN+106at Pinnacle | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 49% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is this season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Tomorrow 10:00 AM ET | -119at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 54% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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