This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 18 of 3453%needs 50% to break even | 39%–66% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 22 of 4154%needs 50% to break even | 41%–66% | 3 points betterwon 54%, needs 50% |
Tonight MON plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against LILL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
MON goals in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | MON goals | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 2 | METZ | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 13 | NAN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | NAN | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | METZ | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 16 of 34· last season47%needs 54% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -29.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 18 of 34· last season53%needs 33% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | PIN-117at Pinnacle | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| MON to win moneylineAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +110at Fanatics | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| MON -0.5 spreadAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | LVG+108at LowVig | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, MON gamesAS Monaco · Sun, Oct 25, 10:00 AM ET | +105at Bovada | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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