This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 70% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 70% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points shortwon 60%, needs 70% | 2goals |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 70% to break even | 54%–93% | 10 points betterwon 80%, needs 70% | 1.8goals |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 70% to break even | 59%–92% | 10 points betterwon 80%, needs 70% | 1.7goals |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 70% to break even | 41%–90% | 1 points betterwon 71%, needs 70% | 1.7goals |
| Last season |
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 16 of 20 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TOU goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET |
| 72%–92% |
| 15 points betterwon 85%, needs 70% |
| 1.4goals |
| Every game | 33 of 4083%needs 70% to break even | 71%–90% | 12 points betterwon 83%, needs 70% | 1.5goals |
| Date | Opponent | TOU goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | METZ | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | METZ | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | NAN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| -164at Polymarket |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 62% to break even9 of 20 at home |
| -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even4 of 20 at home | -23.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 23% to break even6 of 20 at home |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even8 of 20 at home | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even10 of 20 at home | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even8 of 20 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 17 of 33· last season52%needs 45% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 15 of 33· last season45%needs 42% to break even10 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
| TOU -1.5 spreadToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 33· last season15%needs 37% to break even3 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 22 of 33· last season67%needs 64% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -31.4Not beating its price |
| TOU to win moneylineToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -157at Bovada | 12 of 33· last season36%needs 61% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -37.9Not beating its price |
| TOU -1 spreadToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -102at Bovada | 5 of 26· last season19%needs 50% to break even3 of 16 at home | Record is last season's | -39.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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