This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 45% to break even | 17%–54% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 45% to break even | 19%–71% | 2 points shortwon 43%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 17 of 3352%needs 45% to break even | 38%–65% | 6 points betterwon 52%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 20 of 4050%needs 45% to break even | 37%–63% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 20 at home.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Toulouse game, newest first: whether both teams scored.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | Both scored | Lost | |
| May 3 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Apr 3 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Mar 15 | METZ | Both scored | Lost |
| Mar 7 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 28 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 21 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Feb 1 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Jan 17 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 13 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Dec 6 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Nov 9 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 29 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Oct 19 | METZ | A team didn't score | Won |
| Oct 5 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | NAN | Both scored | Lost |
| Sep 21 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Sep 14 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Both scored | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | A team didn't score | Won | |
| Aug 16 | A team didn't score | Won | |
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score: Yes, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even8 of 20 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.