This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 60% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 60% to break even | 19%–65% | 20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 60% to break even | 22%–61% | 20 points shortwon 40%, needs 60% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 60% to break even | 10%–59% | 31 points shortwon 29%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 12 of 3336%needs 60% to break even | 24%–51% | 24 points shortwon 36%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 14 of 4035%needs 60% to break even | 24%–48% | 25 points shortwon 35%, needs 60% |
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against tou to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
| Beat 0.5 by |
|---|
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 3 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | METZ | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | METZ | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | NAN | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even |
| -8.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 15 of 33· last season45%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
| TOU -1.5 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 5 of 33· last season15%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 22 of 33· last season67%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price |
| TOU -1 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | LVG+107at LowVig | 5 of 26· last season19%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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