This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 23% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 23% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points betterwon 40%, needs 23% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 23% to break even | 19%–65% | 17 points betterwon 40%, needs 23% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 23% to break even | 13%–48% | 4 points betterwon 27%, needs 23% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 23% to break even | 19%–71% | 20 points betterwon 43%, needs 23% |
| Last season | 8 of 3324%needs 23% to break even | 14%–38% |
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 20 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Toulouse game, newest first: whether it ended level.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET |
| 2 points betterwon 24%, needs 23% |
| Every game | 11 of 4028%needs 23% to break even | 18%–40% | 5 points betterwon 28%, needs 23% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Oct 16 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 19 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | Draw | Won | |
| Sep 3 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Aug 22 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| May 10 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| May 3 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | Draw | Won | |
| Apr 17 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | METZ | Decided by 1 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | Draw | Won | |
| Feb 15 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | Draw | Won | |
| Jan 25 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | Decided by 4 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 23 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | Draw | Won | |
| Nov 2 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 29 | Draw | Won | |
| Oct 25 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | METZ | Decided by 4 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | NAN | Draw | Won |
| Sep 21 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | Decided by 3 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | Decided by 2 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | Decided by 1 | Lost | |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even8 of 20 at home |
| -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even10 of 20 at home | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -234at Polymarket | 28 of 33· last season85%needs 70% to break even16 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 63% to break even9 of 20 at home | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: Yes, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 58% to break even8 of 20 at home | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Both teams score: No, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 17 of 33· last season52%needs 45% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 18 of 33· last season55%needs 42% to break even11 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -21.8Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even4 of 20 at home | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 15 of 33· last season45%needs 42% to break even10 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
| TOU -1.5 spreadToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 5 of 33· last season15%needs 37% to break even3 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -187at Polymarket | 22 of 33· last season67%needs 65% to break even12 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -32.3Not beating its price |
| TOU to win moneylineToulouse · Tomorrow 12:15 PM ET | -157at Bovada | 12 of 33· last season36%needs 61% to break even7 of 20 at home | Record is last season's | -37.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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