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Won22 of 33last season · 67%
Best price-187Polymarket
Price needs65.2%wins to break even
Every game25 of 40this season and last
Trend score-32.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 65% to break even | 14%–73% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 65% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points shortwon 50%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 65% to break even | 22%–61% | 25 points shortwon 40%, needs 65% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 65% to break even | 19%–71% | 22 points shortwon 43%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 22 of 3367%needs 65% to break even | 52%–78% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 25 of 4063%needs 65% to break even | 49%–74% | 3 points shortwon 63%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Troyes @ Toulouse: under 3.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 |  MNS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  MON | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  HAC | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  LOR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 |  LILL | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  BRE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 22 |  LYON | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | LYON | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 3 |  STR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | MON | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 17 |  RCL | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 | LILL | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  PSG | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | LOR | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 | METZ | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  OLM | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 |  REN | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 |  PAR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | HAC | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 |  ANG | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  AUX | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | BRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  NICE | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 | RCL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | PAR | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | STR | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | OLM | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | ANG | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | LOR | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | HAC | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | REN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | MON | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | METZ | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | LYON | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | NAN | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | AUX | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | LILL | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | PSG | 9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | BRE | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 16 | NICE | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Toulouse in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOU -1.5 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 5 of 33· last season15%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price | |
| TOU to win moneylineToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |  -150at BetMGM | 12 of 33· last season36%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.9Not beating its price | |
| TOU -1 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | LVG+107at LowVig | 5 of 26· last season19%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.