This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 61% to break even | 44%–95% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 61% to break even | 54%–93% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 61% to break even | 59%–92% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 61% to break even | 41%–90% | 10 points betterwon 71%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 18 of 3355%needs 61% to break even | 40%–68% | 7 points shortwon 55%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 23 of 4057%needs 61% to break even | 45%–69% | 4 points shortwon 57%, needs 61% |
Tonight TOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TRY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 team totalToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 10 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 17 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | METZ | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | METZ | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | NAN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| 15 of 33· last season45%needs 42% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.3Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 game total, TOU gamesToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -195at Polymarket | 22 of 33· last season67%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even |
| -19.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 18 of 33· last season55%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
| TOU -1.5 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 5 of 33· last season15%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| TOU to win moneylineToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | -150at BetMGM | 12 of 33· last season36%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.9Not beating its price |
| TOU -1 spreadToulouse · Sun, Oct 25, 12:15 PM ET | LVG+107at LowVig | 5 of 26· last season19%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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