Each of this player's bets replayed over their recent games, strongest first. Red means it has won less often than its price needs.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even4 of 9 at home |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Teammates' bets that have won much more often in the games Justin Jefferson's bet won. Useful when building a parlay from one game; it says nothing about why.
Averages over recent windows. A window reaches back into last season when this season has fewer games.
| Window | Games | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 76.4 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 51.6 | 0.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 82.7 | 0.2 | -0.8 | 6 | 4.1 | 50.7 | 0.3 |
| This season | 5 | 76.4 | 0.2 | -2.2 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 51.6 | 0.6 |
| Last season | 17 | 94.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 61.6 | 0.1 |
Snap %: share of the offense's snaps, % · Car: carries (rushing attempts) · Rush yds: rushing yards · Tgt: targets (passes thrown his way) · Rec: receptions · Rec yds: receiving yards · Rec TD: receiving touchdowns
This season and last, newest first.
What IND's defense has given up to wide receivers, against the rest of the league.
| Stat | IND allows a game | Rank | Average defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving yardsto wide receivers | 148.8 | 16th fewestof 32 | 150.3 |
| Receptionsto wide receivers | 10.5 | 11th fewestof 32, a tough matchup | 11.5 |
| Anytime TDto wide receivers | 0.8 | 14th fewestof 32 | 0.9 |
Per game over 6 games, this season. “Most” means this defense gives up more than most.
| Week | Team | Player | Receiving yards | All wide receivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | Carnell Tate | 70 | 95 | |
| Wk 5 |
| Germie Bernard |
| 80 |
| 92 |
| Wk 4 | Dyami Brown | 65 | 168 |
| Wk 3 | Xavier Hutchinson | 51 | 109 |
| Wk 2 | Tyquan Thornton | 86 | 200 |
| Wk 1 | Zay Flowers | 150 | 229 |
| Wk 18last season | Xavier Hutchinson | 84 | 117 |
| Wk 17last season | Parker Washington | 115 | 193 |
| Wk 16last season | Jauan Jennings | 71 | 144 |
| Wk 15last season | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 113 | 233 |
| Average of these 10 | 88.5 | 158 |
Per-game averages in different kinds of games, this season and last, with the row that matches the next game (vs IND) marked. Few games in a row means it can swing a lot.
| Which games | Played | Snap % | Car | Rush yds | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Every game | 22 | 90.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 59.4 | 0.2 |
| HomeNext game | 9 | 91.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 63 | 0.2 |
| Away | 13 | 89.1 | 0.2 | -0.5 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 56.8 | 0.2 |
| -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even3 of 9 at home | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 67% to break even8 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even1 of 9 at home | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 17· last season18%needs 38% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsIND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 4 of 17· last season24%needs 40% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
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From the latest injury report and depth chart, with the next opponent, IND. Statuses change up to game time.
IND is missing: Sauce Gardner (starting LCB).