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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions
Won4 of 17last season · 24%
Best price+150Fanatics
Price needs40.0%wins to break even
Every game5 of 22this season and last
Trend score-26.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 40% to break even | 7%–46% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 40% to break even | 5%–33% | 27 points shortwon 13%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 4 of 1724%needs 40% to break even | 11%–43% | 16 points shortwon 24%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 5 of 2223% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Justin Jefferson over 6.5 receptions2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  NO | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 receptionsJustin Jefferson |
More on Justin Jefferson in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsJustin Jefferson |
