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Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Under 18.5 completionsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | |||||
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work
| 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 50% to break even |
| 11.7Strong |
| 2 | Under 22.5 completionsKirk Cousins · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last season90%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price |
| 3 | Under 19.5 completionsMichael Penix Jr. · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| 4 | Under 20.5 completionsGeno Smith · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| 5 | Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| 6 | Under 23.5 completionsJordan Love · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.7Not beating its price |
| 7 | Over 18.5 completionsCam Ward · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| 8 | Over 20.5 completionsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.5Not beating its price |
| 9 | Under 20.5 completionsBrock Purdy · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -13.5Not beating its price |
| 10 | Under 25.5 completionsJared Goff · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.7Not beating its price |
| 11 | Under 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price |
| 12 | Over 19.5 completionsDaniel Jones · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -14.8Not beating its price |
| 13 | Over 23.5 completionsTyler Shough · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
| 14 | Over 23.5 completionsMatthew Stafford · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| 15 | Over 23.5 completionsJacoby Brissett · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 52% to break even | -16.0Not beating its price |
| 16 | Over 24.5 completionsJoe Burrow · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 55% to break even | -16.4Not beating its price |
| 17 | Over 21.5 completionsBo Nix · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 12 of 18· last season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| 18 | Over 21.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| 19 | Over 22.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
| 20 | Under 21.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETMontgomery doubtful (RB) | -112at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even | -21.9Not beating its price |
| 21 | Under 24.5 completionsJoe Burrow · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 6 of 13· last 15 games, 2 skipped46%needs 51% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price |
| 22 | Under 22.5 completionsAaron Rodgers · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ETWithout Skowronek (WR) | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.5Not beating its price |
| 23 | Under 21.5 completionsBo Nix · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| 24 | Over 25.5 completionsJared Goff · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -25.1Not beating its price |
| 25 | Under 23.5 completionsTyler Shough · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 11· last season64%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price |
| 26 | Under 23.5 completionsMatthew Stafford · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| 27 | Over 20.5 completionsBrock Purdy · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ETWithout Samuel (WR) | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| 28 | Under 23.5 completionsJacoby Brissett · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 7 of 14· last season50%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.4Not beating its price |
| 29 | Under 19.5 completionsDaniel Jones · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 54% to break even | -27.0Not beating its price |
| 30 | Over 21.5 completionsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -27.7Not beating its price |
| 31 | Under 20.5 completionsPatrick Mahomes · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 57% to break even | -27.8Not beating its price |
| 32 | Over 19.5 completionsSam Darnold · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price |
| 33 | Over 19.5 completionsMichael Penix Jr. · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 9· last season56%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.3Not beating its price |
| 34 | Over 23.5 completionsJordan Love · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 52% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
| 35 | Under 18.5 completionsCam Ward · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 54% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price |
| 36 | Over 22.5 completionsKirk Cousins · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 52% to break even | -32.3Not beating its price |
| 37 | Over 20.5 completionsGeno Smith · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price |
| 38 | Over 18.5 completionsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 1 of 10· last 10 games10%needs 58% to break even | -39.6Not beating its price |