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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS -0.5 1st quarter spreadBoston Celtics · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  -116at Kalshi | 56 of 89· last season63%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price | |
| 2 | SA -1.5 1st quarter spreadSan Antonio Spurs · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsSA without Harris | -126at Kalshi | 68 of 106· last season64%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price | |
| 3 | CHA -0.5 1st quarter spreadCharlotte Hornets · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -5.4Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | LAC +0.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Clippers · LAC @ LAL · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 45 of 83· last season54%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.8Not beating its price | |
| 5 | HOU -0.5 1st quarter spreadHouston Rockets · HOU @ SA · Today 9:40 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsSA without Harris | +134at Kalshi | 46 of 88· last season52%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price | |
| 6 | DET +0.5 1st quarter spreadDetroit Pistons · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 57 of 96· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| 7 | ORL -0.5 1st quarter spreadOrlando Magic · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +101at Kalshi | 50 of 91· last season55%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price | |
| 8 | MIA -0.5 1st quarter spreadMiami Heat · DET @ MIA · Today 8:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 51 of 83· last season61%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price | |
| 9 | NY -0.5 1st quarter spreadNew York Knicks · NY @ BOS · Today 7:10 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +101at Kalshi | 45 of 102· last season44%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price | |
| 10 | MIN -0.5 1st quarter spreadMinnesota Timberwolves · MIN @ ORL · Today 7:10 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -112at Kalshi | 46 of 94· last season49%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.4Not beating its price | |
| 11 | LAL -0.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Lakers · LAC @ LAL · Today 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 66% to break even | -28.3Not beating its price | ||
| 12 | IND -1.5 1st quarter spreadIndiana Pacers · DAL @ IND · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price | |
| 13 | CHI +0.5 1st quarter spreadChicago Bulls · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | -137at Kalshi | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.0Not beating its price | |
| 14 | MIL -0.5 1st quarter spreadMilwaukee Bucks · CHI @ MIL · Today 4:10 PM ETCHI without Claxton | +101at Kalshi | 30 of 82· last season37%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price | |
| 15 | DAL +1.5 1st quarter spreadDallas Mavericks · DAL @ IND · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 32 of 82· last season39%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.6Not beating its price | |
| 16 | ATL +0.5 1st quarter spreadAtlanta Hawks · ATL @ CHA · Today 7:10 PM ETCHA without White and Knueppel | -148at Kalshi | 46 of 88· last season52%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work