This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 26 of 8232%needs 53% to break even | 24%–41% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 27 of 8333%needs 53% to break even | 25%–41% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
Tonight IND plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against ind 1q -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 124.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 21 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -20 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | -21 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -9 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 23 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| 70 of 82· last season85%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 0.3Slight |
| Under 116.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 1st half totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 58 of 82· last season71%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 67 of 82· last season82%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 120.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 64 of 82· last season78%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 37 of 82· last season45%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 118.5 team totalIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 57 of 82· last season70%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 44 of 82· last season54%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.2Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, IND gamesIndiana Pacers · Today 7:10 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 35 of 82· last season43%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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