This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 67% to break even | 14%–73% | 27 points shortwon 40%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 67% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 67% to break even | 46%–83% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 67% to break even | 27%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 45 of 9249%needs 67% to break even | 40%–57% | 18 points shortwon 49%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 46 of 9349%needs 67% to break even | 41%–58% | 17 points shortwon 49%, needs 67% |
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against lal 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 11 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | -11 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | -23 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | -13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | -10 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 18 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 13 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | -17 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 22 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | -13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 8 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | -13 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | -5 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 10 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -22 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 25 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 12 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -8 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | -9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -2 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 9 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.