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NBAGame line1st quarter spread
HOU 1Q -0.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won46 of 88last season · 52%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game47 of 89this season and last
Trend score-15.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 46 of 8852%needs 43% to break even | 44%–61% | 10 points betterwon 52%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 47 of 8953%needs 43% to break even | 44%–61% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 43% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against SA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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HOU 1Q -0.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against hou 1q -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  DAL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 1 |  LAL | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | LAL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | LAL | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | LAL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | LAL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | LAL | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  MEM | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  MIN | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 |  PHI | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 7 |  PHX | -16 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  GS | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  UTAH | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  MIL | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 |  NY | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  NO | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 | MEM | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | MIN | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  CHI | -20 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  MIA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  ATL | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 | LAL | -9 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | LAL | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | NO | 4 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  DEN | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  TOR | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  SA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 |  POR | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | GS | -10 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  WSH | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | MIA | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  ORL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 |  SAC | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | UTAH | 16 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | NY | -6 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 |  CHA | -9 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  LAC | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 | LAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 |  OKC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | CHA | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 |  BOS | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 |  IND | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | DAL | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | ATL | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | SA | 10 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | MEM | -1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  DET | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | PHI | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | SA | -11 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | NO | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | MIN | -5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | OKC | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | CHI | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | POR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | POR | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 | PHX | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | DAL | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  BKN | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | IND | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CLE | 8 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | LAL | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | LAC | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | SAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | DEN | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | NO | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 15 | DEN | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | LAC | 0 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | DAL | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | PHX | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | SAC | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | UTAH | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | UTAH | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | GS | -3 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | PHX | 7 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | DEN | -13 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CLE | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | ORL | -7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | POR | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | WSH | 11 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | MIL | -2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | SA | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | MEM | 12 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | DAL | -4 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 13 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | TOR | 9 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | BKN | 17 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | DET | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | OKC | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Houston Rockets in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.