This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% | 147.4total points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 38% to break even | 13%–56% | 8 points shortwon 30%, needs 38% | 157.4total points |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 38% to break even | 13%–48% | 11 points shortwon 27%, needs 38% | 155.1total points |
| This season | 8 of 5415%needs 38% to break even | 9%–24% | 23 points shortwon 15%, needs 38% | 157.3total points |
| Last season |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 3 of 10 against ATL · 11 of 51 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 142.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 145.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS -1.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries |
| 15%–36% |
| 14 points shortwon 24%, needs 38% |
| 154.4total points |
| Every game | 19 of 10019%needs 38% to break even | 13%–26% | 19 points shortwon 19%, needs 38% | 156total points |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 142.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 129 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 168 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 144 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 132 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 164 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 164 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 131 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 150 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 30 | 208 | -65.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 184 | -41.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 151 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | 172 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 127 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 148 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 155 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 139 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 153 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 146 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 21 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 148 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 12 | 162 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 162 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 7 | 170 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 4 | 173 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 175 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 180 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 20 | 172 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 15 | 163 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 10 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 8 | 158 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 111 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | 153 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 143 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 21 | 165 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 156 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 136 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jun 12 | 148 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 168 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 163 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 172 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 172 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 178 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 167 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 172 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 157 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 132 | +10.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 174 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 17 | 149 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 173 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 125 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 147 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 150 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 164 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | 124 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 138 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 161 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 153 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | 189 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 142 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 149 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 131 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 131 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 150 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | 178 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 139 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 135 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 152 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | 159 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 162 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 125 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jul 14 | 155 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 206 | -63.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 141 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 171 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 153 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 141 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 161 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 159 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 150 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 165 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 151 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 146 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 170 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 163 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 163 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | 161 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 159 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 162 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 155 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 150 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | 151 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| -168at Kalshi |
| 35 of 46· last season76%needs 63% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 35 of 51 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.4Not beating its price |
| Over 148.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 33 of 46· last season72%needs 55% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 32 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 150.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 34 of 54· this season63%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 26 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 151.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 33 of 54· this season61%needs 47% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 25 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 154.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 31 of 54· this season57%needs 43% to break even3 of 10 against ATL · 24 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 157.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 28 of 54· this season52%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 against ATL · 22 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -105at Polymarket |
| 38 of 54· this season70%needs 51% to break even6 of 10 against ATL · 36 of 51 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.2Not beating its price |
| GS to win moneylineGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 39 of 54· this season72%needs 54% to break even6 of 10 against ATL · 36 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| GS -3.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 35 of 54· this season65%needs 47% to break even4 of 10 against ATL · 32 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| GS +1.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 39 of 54· this season72%needs 57% to break even6 of 10 against ATL · 38 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -10.0Not beating its price |
| GS +3.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 42 of 54· this season78%needs 65% to break even6 of 10 against ATL · 39 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| GS -6.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 27 of 54· this season50%needs 38% to break even1 of 10 against ATL · 25 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -16.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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