This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 47% to break even | 27%–86% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | lost by 4.2points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 47% to break even | 35%–81% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | won by 1.2points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 47% to break even | 39%–78% | 13 points betterwon 60%, needs 47% | won by 3.4points |
| This season | 35 of 5465%needs 47% to break even | 54%–75% | 18 points betterwon 65%, needs 47% | won by 6points |
| Last season |
Tonight GS plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 4 of 10 against ATL · 32 of 51 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against GS -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 157.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries |
| 20 of 4643%needs 47% to break even |
| 32%–56% |
| 3 points shortwon 43%, needs 47% |
| won by 0.7points |
| Every game | 55 of 10055%needs 47% to break even | 47%–63% | 8 points betterwon 55%, needs 47% | won by 3.5points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | -26 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | -14 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 24 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 22 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 16 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | 19 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 25 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 14 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -11 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 20 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 18 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 4 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Aug 2 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 20 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 15 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jul 10 | 15 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jul 6 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 28 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | -19 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 15 | 20 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jun 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | -5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 18 | +14.5 | Won | |
| May 31 | -10 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 27 | +23.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | -8 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 10 | 16 | +12.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 17 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -29 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | -19 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 9 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 4 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 2 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 37 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 19 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | -16 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 15 | 31 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Aug 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 11 | 17 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 13 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 3 | -24 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | -31 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jul 16 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 14 | -1 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | -2 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 19 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | -11 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 27 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jun 25 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 24 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 17 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 14 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 8 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jun 7 | 27 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | -9 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | -11 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | -5 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | -28 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -17 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| +181at Kalshi |
| 28 of 54· this season52%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 against ATL · 22 of 51 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -8.2Not beating its price |
| GS to win moneylineGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 39 of 54· this season72%needs 54% to break even6 of 10 against ATL · 36 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Over 154.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 31 of 54· this season57%needs 43% to break even3 of 10 against ATL · 24 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 148.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 33 of 46· last season72%needs 55% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 32 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 150.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 34 of 54· this season63%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 26 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 151.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 33 of 54· this season61%needs 47% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 25 of 51 at home | Record is this season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 145.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 35 of 46· last season76%needs 63% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 35 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 142.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 11 of 46· last season24%needs 38% to break even3 of 10 against ATL · 11 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 145.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 16 of 51 at home | -24.3Not beating its price |
| Under 150.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 19 of 46· last season41%needs 54% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 25 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Under 151.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 21 of 46· last season46%needs 58% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 26 of 51 at home | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Under 148.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 against ATL · 19 of 51 at home | -26.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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