This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 52% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points shortwon 50%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| This season | 22 of 5342%needs 52% to break even | 31%–53% | 10 points shortwon 42%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 24 of 4652%needs 52% to break even | 40%–64% | evenwon 52%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 46 of 9946%needs 52% to break even | 38%–55% | 5 points shortwon 46%, needs 52% |
Tonight GS plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against ATL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 153.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 149.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS to win moneylineGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 153.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 168 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 144 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 132 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 164 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 7 | 164 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 131 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 2 | 150 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 208 | -54.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 184 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 24 | 151 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 22 | 172 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 127 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Sep 18 | 148 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 155 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 27 | 139 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 26 | 153 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 146 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 17 | 148 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 12 | 162 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 9 | 162 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 7 | 170 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 4 | 173 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 2 | 175 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 29 | 180 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 20 | 172 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 18 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jul 15 | 163 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 10 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jul 8 | 158 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 6 | 111 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 28 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jun 26 | 153 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 24 | 143 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jun 21 | 165 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 19 | 156 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 136 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jun 12 | 148 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 168 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 6 | 163 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 4 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 172 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 31 | 172 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 178 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| May 25 | 167 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| May 22 | 172 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 157 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 132 | +21.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 174 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 17 | 149 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 173 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 11 | 125 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Sep 9 | 147 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 150 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 164 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 2 | 124 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | 138 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 161 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 22 | 153 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | 189 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 142 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | 149 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Aug 13 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 11 | 131 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Aug 9 | 131 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Aug 6 | 150 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 178 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 1 | 139 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jul 31 | 135 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 152 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 27 | 159 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 25 | 162 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 125 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Jul 14 | 155 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 12 | 206 | -52.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 141 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jul 7 | 171 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 5 | 153 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jun 29 | 141 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | 161 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 25 | 159 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 150 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jun 19 | 165 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | 151 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 146 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 9 | 170 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 7 | 163 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 5 | 163 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 1 | 161 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| May 29 | 159 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 27 | 162 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 155 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 150 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 16 | 151 | +2.5 | Won | |
| 31 of 46· last season67%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 152.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 33 of 53· this season62%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price |
| Over 153.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 31 of 53· this season58%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.2Not beating its price |
| Over 155.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 30 of 53· this season57%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 158.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 27 of 53· this season51%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 161.5 game total, GS gamesGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 27 of 53· this season51%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 38 of 53· this season72%needs 37% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| 7.5Good |
| GS -1.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 37 of 53· this season70%needs 36% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.5Good |
| GS +1.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 38 of 53· this season72%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 3.3Good |
| GS +3.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 41 of 53· this season77%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.1Slight |
| GS +4.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -102at BetMGM | 41 of 53· this season77%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| GS +6.5 spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 44 of 53· this season83%needs 59% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| GS +0.5 1st half spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 38 of 53· this season72%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| GS +4.5 2nd half spreadGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 36 of 53· this season68%needs 51% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Over 74.5 team totalGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 42 of 53· this season79%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 74.5 team totalGolden State Valkyries · Sat, Oct 24, 1:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 19 of 46· last season41%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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