This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 50% to break even | 19%–71% | 7 points shortwon 43%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 26 of 3868%needs 50% to break even | 55%–79% | 19 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 29 of 4564%needs 50% to break even | 52%–75% | 15 points betterwon 64%, needs 50% |
Tonight LAZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | CRE | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Aug 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -112at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.