This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 53% to break even | 29%–81% | 4 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 3832%needs 53% to break even | 21%–45% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 16 of 4536%needs 53% to break even | 25%–48% | 17 points shortwon 36%, needs 53% |
Tonight LAZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | CRE | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 26 of 38· last season68%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 33 of 38· last season87%needs 70% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even | -23.7Not beating its price |
| LAZ to win moneylineLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -225at BetMGM | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 69% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| LAZ -1.5 spreadLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price |
| LAZ -1 spreadLazio · Sat, Oct 24, 2:45 PM ET | -145at BetUS | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 59% to break even | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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