This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 35% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 35% to break even | 7%–46% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 35% to break even | 8%–41% | 15 points shortwon 20%, needs 35% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 35% to break even | 10%–59% | 7 points shortwon 29%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 5 of 3813%needs 35% to break even | 7%–25% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 7 of 4516%needs 35% to break even | 9%–26% | 20 points shortwon 16%, needs 35% |
Tonight LAZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
LAZ goals in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | LAZ goals | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | CRE | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| 24 of 38· last season63%needs 41% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -234at Polymarket | 33 of 38· last season87%needs 70% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even |
| -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| LAZ to win moneylineLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -225at BetMGM | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 69% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
| LAZ -1.5 spreadLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -27.3Not beating its price |
| LAZ -1 spreadLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -145at BetUS | 3 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped75%needs 59% to break even | -33.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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