This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 475%needs 59% to break even | 36%–94% | 16 points betterwon 75%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 650%needs 59% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1040%needs 59% to break even | 19%–65% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| This season | 3 of 475%needs 59% to break even | 36%–94% | 16 points betterwon 75%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 6 of 3020%needs 59% to break even | 11%–34% | 39 points shortwon 20%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 9 of 3426%needs 59% to break even | 16%–40% | 33 points shortwon 26%, needs 59% |
Tonight LAZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against laz -1, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| May 17 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| May 4 | CRE | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -4 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | 0 | Tie |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | 0 | Tie | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | +3 | Won |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -3 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.