This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 45% to break even | 13%–56% | 15 points shortwon 30%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 45% to break even | 13%–48% | 19 points shortwon 27%, needs 45% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 45% to break even | 19%–71% | 2 points shortwon 43%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 6 of 3816%needs 45% to break even | 8%–28% | 29 points shortwon 16%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 9 of 4520%needs 45% to break even | 12%–31% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
Tonight LAZ plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against PAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against laz -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 7 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 23 | PIS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 17 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | CRE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 13 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | VER | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | CRE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | PIS | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 31 | VER | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Aug 24 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| 33 of 38· last season87%needs 70% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -14.7Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 24 of 38· last season63%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -112at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 game total, LAZ gamesLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 26 of 38· last season68%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 63% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even | -23.7Not beating its price |
| LAZ to win moneylineLazio · Tomorrow 2:45 PM ET | -225at BetMGM | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 69% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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