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NHLGame lineTotal
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: over 5.5
Won51 of 89last season · 57%
Best price-154Kalshi
Price needs60.6%wins to break even
Every game56 of 98this season and last
Trend score-27.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 61% to break even | 44%–95% | 19 points betterwon 80%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 61% to break even | 27%–73% | 11 points shortwon 50%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 61% to break even | 17%–54% | 27 points shortwon 33%, needs 61% |
| This season | 5 of 956%needs 61% to break even | 30%–78% | 5 points shortwon 56%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 51 of 8957%needs 61% to break even | 49%–66% | 3 points shortwon 57%, needs 61% |
| Every game | 56 of 9857%needs 61% to break even | 49%–65% | 3 points shortwon 57%, needs 61% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: over 5.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  VGK | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  VAN | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  NYR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  NYI | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  MIN | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  WSH | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 1 | NYR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 |  MTL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| May 1 | MTL | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 29 | MTL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | MTL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 24 | MTL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | MTL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | MTL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 15 | NYR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 13 |  DET | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 11 |  BOS | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 9 | MTL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  OTT | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  BUF | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 | BOS | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  PIT | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | MTL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  NSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 | OTT | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 26 | SEA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 24 | MIN | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  CGY | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  EDM | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 | VAN | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | SEA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  CAR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | DET | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  CBJ | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | BUF | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  TOR | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | MIN | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | BUF | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | CAR | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 | TOR | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  FLA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BUF | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | BOS | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | WPG | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 |  UTAH | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | CBJ | 13 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  CHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 |  SJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  DAL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 |  STL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PIT | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 | PHI | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | PHI | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  COL | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | SJ | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  LA | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  ANA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | MTL | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | FLA | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 | STL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | CAR | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | LA | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | FLA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | NYI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 |  NJ | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | MTL | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | TOR | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | NYI | 2 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | PIT | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | NYI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | NYR | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | DET | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | CGY | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | PHI | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | WSH | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | EDM | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 | NJ | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | VAN | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | FLA | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | NYR | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | WSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | VGK | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | COL | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | UTAH | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | DAL | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | NSH | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | VGK | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | ANA | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 | CHI | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CBJ | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | DET | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | WSH | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | BOS | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | NJ | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | OTT | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Lightning · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 44% to break even | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 6.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Lightning · Tomorrow 9:00 PM ET |  -119at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tampa Bay Lightning in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.