Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Odds (Oct 23): Spread, Total & Trends

Book	Moneyline	Spread	Total
Chance it wins	46.5%fair odds +115	53.5%fair odds -115	68.5%fair odds -217	31.5%fair odds +217	47.8%fair odds +109	52.3%fair odds -109
Edge at the best price	-3.7%Normal	-3.0%Normal	-2.2%Normal	-4.9%Normal	-3.1%Normal	-3.8%Normal
Kalshi	+105	-126	-239	+198	-103	-121
Polymarket	+107	-123	-234	+202	+103	-119

Prices

Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean

Book	Moneyline		Spread		Total
Book	TB	COL	TB +1.5	COL -1.5	O 6.5	U 6.5
Chance it wins	46.5%fair odds +115	53.5%fair odds -115	68.5%fair odds -217	31.5%fair odds +217	47.8%fair odds +109	52.3%fair odds -109
Edge at the best price	-3.7%Normal	-3.0%Normal	-2.2%Normal	-4.9%Normal	-3.1%Normal	-3.8%Normal
Kalshi	+105	-126	-239	+198	-103	-121
Polymarket	+107	-123	-234	+202	+103	-119

Vig at the best pricesspread 3.1% · total 3.5% · to win 3.4%Cheapest books →

Before you bet

Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.

Ball Arena · Denver, CO · turf

TBAway · 7-2-0 overall · 2-2-0 on the road

Last 5: WLWWW
Rest: 2 days
Injuries: 2 listed, 1 out
Goalies: Andrei Vasilevskiy · played most7 games · 89.8% of shots saved · 2.46 goals allowed a gameDennis Hildeby2 games · 92.0% of shots saved · 2.01 goals allowed a game

Yanni Gourde	C	Injured Reserve	Hip · back ~Dec 2
Anthony Cirellistarting C	C	Day-To-Day	Undisclosed · back ~Oct 23

Season averages

Goals Against Average: 2.56
Shots Against per Game: 24.2
Penalty Kill Percentage: 79.2
Power Play Goals Against: 5
Short Handed Goals Against: 0
Goals For per Game: 3.44
Shots per Game: 29.8
Power Play Goals: 4

COLHome · 5-4-1 overall · 3-1-1 at home

Last 5: WLWLL
Rest: 3 days
Injuries: 3 listed, 3 out
Goalies: Mackenzie Blackwood · played most7 games · 88.9% of shots saved · 2.90 goals allowed a gameScott Wedgewood3 games · 91.2% of shots saved · 2.65 goals allowed a game

Nicolas Roy	C	Out	Lower Body · back ~Oct 25
Zachary L'Heureux	LW	Out	Upper Body · back ~Oct 28

Before you bet

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Trends

Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.

Every trend in this game

No bet in this game is winning more often than its price needs right now.

Bets not beating their price (12) they've won less often than their price needs

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
TB to win moneylineTampa Bay Lightning	+107at Polymarket	53 of 89· last season60%needs 48% to break even	Record is last season's	-1.6Not beating its price
Over 3.5 team totalTampa Bay Lightning	+146at Kalshi	4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 41% to break even		-10.3Not beating its price
Under 6.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Lightning	-119at Polymarket	12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 54% to break even		-10.4Not beating its price
COL -1.5 spreadColorado Avalanche	+202at Polymarket	46 of 95· last season48%needs 33% to break even	Record is last season's	-12.8Not beating its price
Under 5.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche	+131at Polymarket	43 of 95· last season45%needs 43% to break even	Record is last season's	-16.7Not beating its price
Under 3.5 team totalColorado Avalanche	-148at Kalshi	10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 60% to break even		-16.8Not beating its price
COL -0.5 1st period spreadColorado Avalanche	+181at Kalshi	40 of 95· last season42%needs 36% to break even	Record is last season's	-17.9Not beating its price
Over 6.5 game total, COL gamesColorado Avalanche	+103at Polymarket	6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even		-18.4Not beating its price
Over 3.5 team totalColorado Avalanche	+114at Kalshi	44 of 95· last season46%needs 47% to break even	Record is last season's	-25.0Not beating its price
Under 2.5 team totalTampa Bay Lightning	+129at Kalshi	34 of 89· last season38%needs 44% to break even	Record is last season's	-25.7Not beating its price
Over 5.5 game total, TB gamesTampa Bay Lightning	-151at Polymarket	51 of 89· last season57%needs 60% to break even	Record is last season's	-26.9Not beating its price
TB +0.5 1st period spreadTampa Bay Lightning	-251at Kalshi	57 of 89· last season64%needs 72% to break even	Record is last season's	-28.7Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

Trends

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Prediction markets

On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.

PolymarketTrade ↗

TB46.5%

COL53.5%

$5,200 available at this price$4,000 available at this price

COL 54.0% → 53.5% today$6K traded · COL win chance, last 24 hours
$6K traded today · $60K in open orders

PolymarketTrade ↗

TB46.5%

COL53.5%

no history$6K traded · COL win chance, last 24 hours
$6K traded today · $60K in open orders

KalshiTrade ↗

TB46.5%

COL53.5%

$22,500 available at this price$22 available at this price

COL 55.0% → 53.5% todayabout $1K traded · COL win chance, last 24 hours
about $783 traded today

KalshiTrade ↗

TB46.5%

COL53.5%

no historyabout $1K traded · COL win chance, last 24 hours
about $783 traded today

Every number

Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.

Spread

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
COL +2.5	84% chance	-564	TB -2.5+456
COL +1.5	75% chance	-322	TB -1.5

Sharp money

Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.

Money tradedabout $8K

$6K traded

about $1K traded

Riding on it now$6Kpaid out when the game ends

Sharp money, last 24 hoursNoneno trades of $10,000 or more

No single trade of $10,000 or more on this game in the last 24 hours.

Bet	Chance	Best price	Other side, best price
Over 3.5	87% chance	-788	Under 3.5+574
Over 4.5	80% chance	-421	Under 4.5+351
Over 5.5	59% chance	-151	Under 5.5+131
Over 6.5Most books' number	48% chance	+103$520 available at this price	Under 6.5-119$20 available at this price
Over 7.5	27% chance	+257	Under 7.5-290
Over 8.5	20% chance	+351	Under 8.5-458