This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 71% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 71% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 71% to break even | 35%–81% | 11 points shortwon 60%, needs 71% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 71% to break even | 46%–83% | 4 points shortwon 67%, needs 71% |
| This season | 6 of 967%needs 71% to break even | 40%–86% | 4 points shortwon 67%, needs 71% |
| Last season | 57 of 8964%needs 71% to break even | 55%–72% | 6 points shortwon 64%, needs 71% |
| Every game | 63 of 9864%needs 71% to break even | 56%–72% | 6 points shortwon 64%, needs 71% |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1P margin in each game against tb 1p +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1P margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 15 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 24 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 15 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | -4 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 9 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 6 | -2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 23 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 14 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 13 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.