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NHLGame lineMoneyline
TB to win (moneyline)
Won53 of 89last season · 60%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game60 of 98this season and last
Trend score-1.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 48% to break even | 44%–87% | 22 points betterwon 70%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 48% to break even | 46%–83% | 19 points betterwon 67%, needs 48% |
| This season | 7 of 978%needs 48% to break even | 50%–92% | 30 points betterwon 78%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 53 of 8960%needs 48% to break even | 51%–68% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 60 of 9861%needs 48% to break even | 53%–69% | 13 points betterwon 61%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against COL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TB to win (moneyline)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tb to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 |  VGK | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Oct 17 |  VAN | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 15 |  SEA | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 13 |  NYR | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  NYI | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  MIN | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  PHI | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  WSH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 1 | NYR | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 |  MTL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| May 1 | MTL | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 29 | MTL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Apr 26 | MTL | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 24 | MTL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Apr 21 | MTL | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 19 | MTL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Apr 15 | NYR | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 13 |  DET | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 11 |  BOS | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Apr 9 | MTL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  OTT | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  BUF | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Apr 4 | BOS | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  PIT | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 31 | MTL | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  NSH | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Mar 28 | OTT | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Mar 26 | SEA | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 24 | MIN | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  CGY | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  EDM | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 19 | VAN | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Mar 17 | SEA | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  CAR | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Mar 12 | DET | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  CBJ | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | BUF | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Mar 7 |  TOR | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  WPG | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | MIN | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | BUF | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Feb 26 | CAR | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | TOR | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  FLA | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | BUF | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Feb 1 | BOS | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 29 | WPG | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  UTAH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 24 | CBJ | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  CHI | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  SJ | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  DAL | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Jan 16 |  STL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | PIT | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Jan 12 | PHI | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Jan 10 | PHI | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Jan 6 |  COL | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Jan 3 | SJ | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  LA | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  ANA | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Dec 28 | MTL | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Dec 27 | FLA | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 22 | STL | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Dec 20 | CAR | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Dec 18 | LA | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | FLA | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Dec 13 | NYI | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 11 |  NJ | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Dec 9 | MTL | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | TOR | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | NYI | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | PIT | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NYI | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | NYR | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 26 | CGY | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 24 | PHI | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 22 | WSH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 20 | EDM | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 18 | NJ | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Nov 16 | VAN | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | FLA | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Nov 12 | NYR | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | WSH | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Nov 6 | VGK | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Nov 4 | COL | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | UTAH | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Oct 30 | DAL | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 28 | NSH | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Oct 26 | VGK | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 25 | ANA | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 23 | CHI | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | CBJ | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | DET | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 14 | WSH | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Oct 13 | BOS | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 11 | NJ | -2 | -2 | Lost |
| Oct 9 | OTT | -1 | -1 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Tampa Bay Lightning in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.