This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 53% to break even | 35%–88% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 2060%needs 53% to break even | 42%–76% |
Tonight LAR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against LV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Passing yards in each game against over 268.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Passing yards | Beat 268.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 passing TDsMatthew Stafford |
| Every game | 16 of 2662%needs 53% to break even | 45%–75% | 8 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 222 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 383 | +114.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 317 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 390 | +121.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 327 | +58.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 155 | -113.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 21 | 374 | +105.5 | Won | |
| Wk 20 | 258 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 19 | 304 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 259 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 269 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 457 | +188.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 368 | +99.5 | Won | |
| Wk 14 | 281 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 243 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 273 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 130 | -138.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 280 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 281 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 182 | -86.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 181 | -87.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 389 | +120.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 375 | +106.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 196 | -72.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 298 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 245 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| +181at Kalshi |
| 2 of 6· this season33%needs 36% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -23.4Not beating its price |
| Under 249.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 6 of 20· last season30%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Under 265.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -110at Fanatics | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Under 268.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
| Under 270.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Under 271.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price |
| Under 274.5 passing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -131at Kalshi |
| 17 of 20· last season85%needs 57% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.7Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 completionsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pass attemptsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 interceptions thrownMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -20.6Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 rushing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -165at FanDuel | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 rushing yardsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +126at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 44% to break even | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 completionsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 pass attemptsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsMatthew Stafford · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 48% to break even | -32.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.