This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 64% to break even | 65%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 64% to break even | 79%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 64% to break even | 75%–98% | 30 points betterwon 93%, needs 64% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 64% to break even | 69%–100% | 36 points betterwon 100%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 16 of 1794%needs 64% to break even | 77%–99% | 30 points betterwon 94%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 22 of 2396%needs 64% to break even | 83%–99% | 32 points betterwon 96%, needs 64% |
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IND 1H points in each game against over 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | IND 1H points | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 6 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 7 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 23 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 12 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 5 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 28 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 7 | 20 | +13.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 1 of 15· last 15 games7%needs 41% to break even | -32.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 7.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 54% to break even | -42.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 8.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 54% to break even | -42.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalIndianapolis Colts · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 59% to break even | -46.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.