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NFLPlayer propRush attempts
Daniel Jones over 3.5 rush attempts
Won6 of 13last season · 46%
Best price+145Fanatics
Price needs40.8%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-22.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 41% to break even | 5%–56% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% | 3.2rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 41% to break even | 7%–46% | 21 points shortwon 20%, needs 41% | 2.9rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 41% to break even | 13%–48% | 14 points shortwon 27%, needs 41% | 2.9rush attempts |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 41% to break even | 4%–50% | 24 points shortwon 17%, needs 41% | 2.8rush attempts |
| Last season | 6 of 1346%needs 41% to break even | 26%–68% | 5 points betterwon 46%, needs 41% | 3.5rush attempts |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 41% to break even | 21%–56% | 4 points shortwon 37%, needs 41% | 3.3rush attempts |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 on the road. Tonight: MIN allows 2.2 rush attempts a game to quarterbacks, the 2nd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 3.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How MIN defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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Daniel Jones over 3.5 rush attempts1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush attempts in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  PIT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  HOU | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  KC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  BAL | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 14 |  JAX | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | HOU | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | KC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ATL | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | PIT | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | TEN | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  LAC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  ARI | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  LV | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LAR | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | TEN | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  DEN | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  MIA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Daniel Jones in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 209.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +156at DraftKings | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 39% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.9Slight | |
| Over 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +124at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 45% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.5Slight | |
| Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +160at DraftKings | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 38% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 196.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 197.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +108at BetOnline | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 48% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 207.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +132at BetOnline | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 43% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 completionsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +210at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 32% to break even5 of 9 on the road | -2.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 209.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +124at DraftKings | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 45% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +850at BetRivers | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 11% to break even2 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 199.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -105at DraftKings | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 189.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -107at DraftKings | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 219.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +203at DraftKings | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 33% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.