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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
Daniel Jones scores a TD
Won4 of 13last season · 31%
Best price+850BetRivers
Price needs10.5%wins to break even
Every game5 of 19this season and last
Trend score-2.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 11% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 11% to break even | 5%–56% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 11% to break even | 2%–35% | 1 points shortwon 10%, needs 11% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 11% to break even | 8%–41% | 9 points betterwon 20%, needs 11% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 11% to break even | 4%–50% | 6 points betterwon 17%, needs 11% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 11% to break even | 15%–54% | 20 points betterwon 31%, needs 11% |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 11% to break even | 13%–45% | 16 points betterwon 26%, needs 11% |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 9 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Daniel Jones scores a TD9 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every Daniel Jones game, newest first: whether Jones scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 |  TEN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  PIT | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 3 |  HOU | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  KC | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  BAL | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 14 |  JAX | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | HOU | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 12 | KC | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  ATL | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 | PIT | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 8 | TEN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  LAC | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  ARI | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 5 |  LV | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  LAR | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | TEN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  DEN | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 1 |  MIA | 2 TDs | Won |
More on Daniel Jones in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 199.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +129at Kalshi | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 44% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight | |
| Over 209.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +156at DraftKings | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 39% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.9Slight | |
| Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +160at DraftKings | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 38% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 196.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 197.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +108at BetOnline | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 48% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 207.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +132at BetOnline | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 43% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 completionsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +210at BetRivers | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 32% to break even5 of 9 on the road | -2.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 209.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +124at DraftKings | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 45% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 199.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -105at DraftKings | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 51% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -3.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 189.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | -107at DraftKings | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 219.5 passing yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) | +203at DraftKings | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 33% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 224.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Warren (TE) |  +174at FanDuel | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 36% to break even5 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.