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NFLPlayer propReceptions
Jauan Jennings over 1.5 receptions
Won15 of 17last season · 88%
Best price+198Kalshi
Price needs33.6%wins to break even
Every game15 of 21this season and last
Trend score-0.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 34% to break even | 5%–56% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | 0.8receptions |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 34% to break even | 27%–73% | 16 points betterwon 50%, needs 34% | 1.9receptions |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 34% to break even | 46%–83% | 33 points betterwon 67%, needs 34% | 2.8receptions |
| This season | 0 of 40%needs 34% to break even | 0%–40% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% | 0.5receptions |
| Last season | 15 of 1788%needs 34% to break even | 70%–96% | 55 points betterwon 88%, needs 34% | 3.4receptions |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 34% to break even | 54%–84% | 38 points betterwon 71%, needs 34% | 2.9receptions |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 9 at home. Tonight: IND allows 10.5 receptions a game to wide receivers, the 11th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 11.5): a tough matchup for this bet. How IND defends wide receivers
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Jauan Jennings over 1.5 receptions1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receptions in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 |  NO | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  MIA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  TB | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  GB | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  SEA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | SEA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  CHI | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  IND | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TEN | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  CLE | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  CAR | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  ARI | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  LAR | 6 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NYG | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  HOU | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  ATL | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | TB | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  JAX | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | NO | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | SEA | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 receptionsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +168at FanDuel | 2 of 4· this season50%needs 37% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jauan Jennings in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 receiving yardsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  +119at Kalshi | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 46% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 receiving yardsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 53% to break even8 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -8.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 60% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -27.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 7.5 receiving yardsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.