This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 6.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% | 26.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% | 33.9receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 425%needs 53% to break even | 6%–64% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 2.3receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 9 at home. Tonight: IND allows 148.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 16th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How IND defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 7.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 77%–99% |
| 41 points betterwon 94%, needs 53% |
| 41.8receiving yards |
| Every game | 17 of 2181%needs 53% to break even | 64%–91% | 28 points betterwon 81%, needs 53% | 34.3receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 5 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 8 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 | 23 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 19 | 45 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 35 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 42 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 71 | +63.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 37 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 39 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 41 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 54 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 71 | +63.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 41 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 45 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 31 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 24 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 89 | +81.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 16 | +8.5 | Won | |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 3 of 4· this season75%needs 53% to break even1 of 9 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -30.3Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 60% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +198at Kalshi |
| 15 of 17· last season88%needs 34% to break even7 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.7Not beating its price |
| Over 0.5 receptionsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -230at FanDuel | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 70% to break even8 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 receptionsJauan Jennings · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +168at FanDuel | 2 of 4· this season50%needs 37% to break even1 of 9 at home | Record is this season's | -23.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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