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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Matthew Golden under 59.5 receiving yards
Won13 of 15last season · 87%
Best price+152Kalshi
Price needs39.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 21this season and last
Trend score-3.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 40% to break even | 27%–73% | 10 points betterwon 50%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 40% to break even | 46%–83% | 27 points betterwon 67%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 13 of 1587%needs 40% to break even | 67%–95% | 47 points betterwon 87%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 40% to break even | 54%–84% | 32 points betterwon 71%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Matthew Golden under 59.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 104 | -44.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  CHI | 123 | -63.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  TB | 21 | +38.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  ATL | 100 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  NYJ | 58 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  MIN | 95 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | CHI | 84 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 18 | MIN | 8 | +51.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  BAL | 12 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | CHI | 0 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  DEN | 55 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | CHI | 0 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  NYG | 24 | +35.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  CAR | 9 | +50.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  PIT | 4 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  ARI | 37 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  CIN | 86 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | DAL | 58 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  CLE | 52 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  WSH | 0 | +59.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  DET | 16 | +43.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 69.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -137at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 70.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -135at Fanatics | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 72.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -117at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -26.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 73.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -112at BetOnline | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 75.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -111at DraftKings | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -25.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 79.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 89.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +159at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 39% to break even | Record is this season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Matthew Golden in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  +118at FanDuel | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -135at BetMGM | 15 of 15· last season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -183at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +112at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -150at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.