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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Matthew Golden over 79.5 receiving yards
Won4 of 6this season · 67%
Best price+105Kalshi
Price needs48.8%wins to break even
Every game6 of 21this season and last
Trend score-22.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 49% to break even | 27%–73% | 1 points betterwon 50%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 49% to break even | 17%–54% | 15 points shortwon 33%, needs 49% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 49% to break even | 35%–88% | 18 points betterwon 67%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 2 of 1513%needs 49% to break even | 5%–33% | 35 points shortwon 13%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 6 of 2129%needs 49% to break even | 16%–46% | 20 points shortwon 29%, needs 49% |
Games like tonight
Tonight GB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Matthew Golden over 79.5 receiving yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against over 79.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 79.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  DAL | 104 | +24.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  CHI | 123 | +43.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  TB | 21 | -58.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  ATL | 100 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  NYJ | 58 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  MIN | 95 | +15.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | CHI | 84 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | MIN | 8 | -71.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 |  BAL | 12 | -67.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CHI | 0 | -79.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  DEN | 55 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | CHI | 0 | -79.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 |  NYG | 24 | -55.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  CAR | 9 | -70.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  PIT | 4 | -75.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  ARI | 37 | -42.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  CIN | 86 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | DAL | 58 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  CLE | 52 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  WSH | 0 | -79.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  DET | 16 | -63.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 59.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  +152at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 69.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +109at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 70.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  +100at Fanatics | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 72.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 73.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at FanDuel | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 75.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -113at DraftKings | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 79.5 receiving yardsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -131at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Matthew Golden in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +118at FanDuel | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable |  -135at BetMGM | 15 of 15· last season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price | |
| Doesn't score a TDMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -183at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last season93%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.7Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even | -19.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 5.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | +112at DraftKings | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 receptionsMatthew Golden · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ETListed questionable | -150at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | -34.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.